The Relationship between Financial Risk and Earnings Management Before and After IPOs: Evidence from Thailand and Singapore
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.70730/tureview.v29i1.241507Keywords:
Financial Risk, Real and Accrual Earnings Management, Initial Public OfferingAbstract
This study examines the relationship of financial risk and earnings management in firms undertaking initial public offerings (IPOs) in Thailand and Singapore between 2010 and 2019, a period spanning between the H1N1 and COVID-19 pandemics. Financial risk is categorized into three types: credit risk, liquidity risk, and operational risk. The analysis utilizes structural equation modeling, comprising 622 firm-year observations across four periods: one year before the IPO (T-1), the IPO year (T), one year after the IPO (T+1), and two years after the IPO (T+2). The findings indicate that IPOs have no direct effect on earnings management in any period for either country. However, an indirect effect is observed for Singapore at T-1, where IPOs are associated with increased accrual-based earnings management mediated by credit risk. No indirect effect is found for Thailand across the four periods.
References
Aharony, J., Lin, C.J., & Loeb, M.P. (1993). Initial public offerings, accounting choices, and earnings management. Contemporary Accounting Research, 10(1), 61-81. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1911-3846.1993.tb00382.x.
Ahmad, Z., & Lim, S.M. (2005). Operating performance of initial public offerings in Malaysia. Capital
Markets Review, 13(1&2), 21-32.
Ahmad-Zaluki, N.A. (2009). Post-IPO operating performance and earnings management. International Business Research, 1(2), 39-48. https://doi.org/10.5539/ibr.v1n2p39.
Alhadab, M., Clacher, I., & Keasey, K. (2015). Real and accrual earnings management and IPO failure risk. Accounting and Business Research, 45(1), 55-92. https://doi.org/10.1080/00014788.2014.969187.
Alhadab, M., Clacher, I., & Keasey, K. (2016). A comparative analysis of real and accrual earnings management around initial public offerings under different regulatory environments. Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 43(7-8), 849-871. https://doi.org/10.1111/jbfa.12201.
Ali, U., Noor, M.A., Khurshid, M.K., & Mahmood, A. (2018). Impact of firm size on earnings management; A study of textile sector of Pakistan. European Journal of Business and Management, 7(28), 47-56. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2698317.
Aprilia, K.D.K., Rohman, A., Chariri, A., & Ghozali, I. (2016). Credit risk and earnings management mediate the relationship between cash compensation and bank performance: Evidence from Indonesia. Social Sciences, 11(21), 5060-5070. https://doi.org/10.36478/sscience.2016.5060.5070.
Balatbat, M.C.A., Taylor, S.L., & Walter, T.S. (2004). Corporate governance, insider ownership and operating performance of Australian initial public offerings. Accounting and Finance, 44(3), 299-328. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-629x.2004.00114.x.
Ball, R., & Shivakumar, L. (2008). Earnings quality at initial public offerings. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 45(2-3), 324-349. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2007.12.001.
Cai, J., & Wei, K.C.J. (1997). The investment and operating performance of Japanese initial public offerings. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 5(4), 389-417. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0927538X(97)00021-8.
Chan, K., Wang, J., & Wei, K.C.J. (2004). Underpricing and long-term performance of IPOs in China. Journal of Corporate Finance, 10(3), 409-430. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0929-1199(03)00023-3.
Chang, S.-C., Chung, T.-Y., & Lin, W.-C. (2010). Underwriter reputation, earnings management and the long-run performance of initial public offerings. Accounting and Finance, 50(1), 53-78. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-629X.2009.00329.x.
Chemmanur, T., & Yan, A. (2009). Product market advertising and new equity issues. Journal of
Financial Economics, 92(1), 40-65. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2008.02.009.
Cormier, D., & Magnan, M. (1997). Investors’ assessment of implicit environmental liabilities: An empirical investigation. Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, 16(2), 215-241. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0278-4254(97)00002-1.
Cuong, N.T., & Ha, N.T.T. (2018). Influence of financial ratios on earnings management: Evidence from Vietnam stock exchange market. Journal of Insurance and Financial Management, 4(1), 57-77.
Darrough, M.N., & Rangan, S. (2005). Do insiders manipulate earnings when they sell their shares in an initial public offering?”, Journal of Accounting Research, 43(1), 1-33. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-679x.2004.00161.x.
Dechow, P., Sloan, R., & Sweeney, A. (1995). Detecting earnings management. The Accounting Review, 70(2), 193-225. https://www.jstor.org/stable/248303.
DuCharme, L.L., Malatesta, P.H., & Sefcik, S.E. (2004). Earnings management, stock issues, and shareholder lawsuits. Journal of Financial Economics, 71(1), 27-49. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-405X(03)00182-X.
Eisenhardt, K. M. (1989). Agency theory: An assessment and review. Academy of Management Review, 14(1), 57-74. https://doi.org/10.2307/258191.
Fan, Q. (2007). Earnings management and ownership retention for initial public offering firms: Theory and evidence. The Accounting Review, 82(1), 27-64. https://doi.org/10.2308/accr.2007.82.1.27.
Friedlan, J. M. (1994). Accounting choices of issuers of initial public offerings. Contemporary Accounting Research, 11(1), 1-31. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.19113846.1994.tb00434.x.
Gramlich, J. D., & Sørensen, O.V. (2004). Voluntary management earnings forecasts and discretionary accruals: Evidence from Danish IPOs. European Accounting Review, 13(2), 235-259. https://doi.org/10.1080/0963818042000203338.
Jain, B. A., & Kini, O. (1994). The post-issue operating performance of IPO firms. Journal of Finance, 49(5), 1699-1726. https://doi.org/10.2307/2329268.
Jensen, M.C., & Meckling, W.H. (1976). Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure. Journal of Financial Economics, 3(4), 305-360. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(76)90026-X.
Khan, H. A. U. (2020). Analysis of the company’s financial performance before and after the company conducts an initial public offering. Proceedings of the International Conference on Culture Heritage, Education, Sustainable Tourism, and Innovation Technologies, SCITEPRESS - Science and Technology Publications, pp.179-184. https://doi.org/10.5220/0010305801790184.
Kutsuna, K., Okamura, H., & Cowling, M. (2002). Ownership structure pre- and post-IPOs and the operating performance of JASDAQ companies. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 10(2), 163-181. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0927-538X(01)00041-5.
McNeil, A. J., Frey, R., & Embrechts, P. (2010). Quantitative risk management: Concepts, techniques, and tools. Princeton University Press.
Mikkelson, W. H., Megan Partch, M. M., & Shah, K. (1997). Ownership and operating performance of companies that go public. Journal of Financial Economics, 44(3), 281-307. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-405X(97)00006-8.3
Morsfield, S. G., & Tan, C. E. L. (2006). Do venture capitalists influence the decision to manage earnings in initial public offerings?. The Accounting Review, 81(5), 1119-1150. https://doi.org/10.2308/accr.2006.81.5.1119.
Pagano, M., Panetta, F., & Zingales, L. (1998). Why do companies go public? An empirical analysis. The Journal of Finance, 53(1), 27-64. https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.25448.
Roosenboom, P., van der Goot, T. V. D., & Mertens, G. (2003). Earnings management and initial public offerings: Evidence from the Netherlands. The International Journal of Accounting, 38(3), 243-266. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0020-7063(03)00048-7.
Roychowdhury, S. (2006). Earnings management through real activities manipulation. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 42(3), 335-370. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2006.01.002.
Rusdiyanto, & Narsa, I. M. (2020), “The effect of company size, leverage and return on asset on earnings management: Case Study Indonesian”, Revista Espacios, 41(17), 25-34.
Sadeghi, S. A., & Zareie, B. (2015). Relationship between earnings management and financial ratios at the family firms listed in the Tehran stock exchange. Indian Journal of Fundamental and Applied Life Sciences, 5(3), 1411-1420.
Teoh, S. H., Welch, I., & Wong, T. J. (1998). Earnings management and the long-run market performance of initial public offerings. The Journal of Finance, 53(6), 1935-1974. https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00079.
Thurakit, K. (2020, Febuary 11). Revealing ‘IPO Value’ data, Thai stock market reclaims ASEAN ‘Champion’. Bangkokbiznews https://www.bangkokbiznews.com/business/865646
Thurakit, P. (2021, September 15). ‘Thai-Singapore’ stock exchange launches DR linkage project, trading in 2022. Prachachat. https://www.prachachat.net/finance/news-761729
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1992). Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 5(4), 297-323. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00122574.
Utomo, D.S., Sumaryati, A., & Oktaviana, J. (2020). Factors affecting earnings management: Manufacturing companies in Indonesia. Interdisciplinary Research Review, 15(2), 37-41.
Wang, C. (2005). Ownership and operating performance of Chinese IPOs. Journal of Banking and Finance, 29(7), 1835-1856. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2004.07.003.
Wankel, C. (2009). Earnings management. In C. Wankel (Ed.) Encyclopedia of Business in Today’s World. SAGE Publications, Inc. 545-546., https://doi.org/10.4135/9781412964289.n318.
Winarso, E., & Salim, I.A. (2017). The influence of risk management to the Return on Asset (ROA) banking sector (Case Study of Bank in Indonesia Listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange). Advances in Economics and Business, 5(7), 382-393. https://doi.org/10.13189/aeb.2017.050702.
Zang, A.Y. (2012). Evidence on the trade-off between real activities manipulation and accrual based earnings management, The Accounting Review, 87(2), 675-703. https://doi.org/10.2308/accr-10196
Zimmerman, J. L. (2013). Myth: External financial reporting quality has a first-order effect on firm value, Accounting Horizons, 27 (4), 887-894. https://doi.org/10.2308/acch-10370
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Thammasat Review

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
The opinions and ideas expressed in all submissions published in Thammasat Review are solely that of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect that of the editors or the editorial board.
The copyright of all articles including all written content and illustrations belong to Thammasat Review. Any individuals or organisation wishing to publish, reproduce and distribute a particular manuscript must seek permission from the journal first.




